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When the culprit blames the victimBREAKING NEWS

The Bureau of Labor Statistics released the monthly jobs report for June today, announcing that “the economy created only 80,000 jobs last month”, leaving the jobless rate unchanged at 8.2%. Naturally, as you might expect, Governor Romney is making hay over this lack-luster report, pointing to it as just more proof that President Obama’s economic policies are a failure. But the truth is, the PRIVATE SECTOR CREATED 176,000 NEW JOBS LAST MONTH… 50% more than the number of jobs necessary just to keep up with population growth. That’s pretty damn good, and a sign of a strengthening economy. But THE PUBLIC SECTOR SLASHED (unconfirmed) 96,000 JOBS… CUTTING THE NET TOTAL BY MORE THAN HALF (54%). ARE YOU FREAKIN’ KIDDING ME???

For those of you new to “Mugsy’s Rap Sheet”, I’ve spent much of the last few months railing against “Public Sector layoffs” hampering the recovery. Starting last March I noted that The Reagan Administration stemmed the steady rise in unemployment (peaking at 10.8% at the end of his SECOND year) by freezing Public Sector layoffs in his third year, helping bring unemployment down to just 7.2% in time for the November election. The Reagan Administration then went on a Public Sector hiring binge, bringing the National rate down to just 5.3% by the time he left office in 1989.

Unfortunately, the Bureau of Labor Statistics does not yet have the state-by-state figures showing WHERE these public sector layoffs are taking place, but rest assured I will report on it as soon as they become available (currently [July], only “estimates” for May are available). I would be immensely interested in seeing if the Obama Administration is continuing to slit its own throat by laying off government workers in the lead-up to the election.

Had the Federal, State & Local governments of not laid off 96 THOUSAND public sector workers, the unemployment rate might have fallen by AT LEAST a tenth of a point to 8.1% (possibly more, except that positive job reports attract the long-term unemployed back into the market, pushing the numbers in the opposite direction.) And as previously reported, if it were not for the more than 701,000 public sector job cuts since January of 2009, unemployment would actually be closer to 7.1% (and arguably even lower, as fewer unemployed spurs additional job growth/creation).

THIS ECONOMY IS GROWING. BIG TIME. President Obama’s economic policies ARE working, but it’s this infuriating Republican demand for “Austerity” and obsession with the Deficit (that didn’t bother them when President Bush increased the Deficit from $18-Billion to just over $1-TRILLION in eight years) that is crippling our recovery. The fact that the unemployment rate isn’t rising in the wake of all these public sector layoffs, is a testament to the strength of our economy.

And President Obama: The economy is your Achilles Heel in this election. You had BETTER start calling out these government layoffs for dragging down the Recovery if you want to win reelection.

ADDENDUM: In a speech today, President Obama put the “total” number of jobs created at 84,000. Adjusting accordingly, that would put the number of Public Sector losses at “92,000”.

POSTSCRIPT: I am continuing the hunt for “the 92,000 missing jobs”. The same columnist that reported the “176,000 private sector jobs” figure Thursday did account for “28,200” of those public sector job losses on Friday:

[T]he federal government cut 7,000 jobs in June. The Postal Service shed 6,200 jobs. State governments lost nearly 1,000, and 14,000 teachers lost their jobs (not counting summer vacation).

A report by ThinkProgress supports the idea that a substantial number of those public sector job losses were among teachers, noting “130,000 teaching jobs” were lost “in the last 12 months alone”.

I will continue to investigate the remaining 63,800 jobs and follow-up in a report as soon as those figures become available.
 


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